Thursday, December 16, 2010

ATTENTION Homebuyers and Investors: Important underwriting guideline changes!


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My beautful wife Jennifer and I and John and Shannon at the San Diego Charger's game.

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There have been yet more stringent changes in guidelines in regards to cash reserve requirements for conventional home buyers. Here are those changes:

Primary Residence:
Borrower(s) must have 6 months PITI (principal, interest, taxes and insurance) in reserves regardless of whether rental income is used to qualify the borrower(s).

Second Home:
Borrower(s) must have 2 months PITI in reserves for subject property. In addition,
Borrower(s) must have additional 2 months PITI in reserves for each other financed second home and/or 1-4 unit Investment Property in which the Borrower(s) have an ownership interest OR on which the borrower is obligated.

Investment property:
Borrower(s) must have 6 months PITI in reserves regardless of whether rental income is used to qualify the borrower(s). In addition, Borrower(s) must have additional 2 months PITI in reserves for each other financed second home and 1-4 unit Investment Property in which the borrower(s) have an ownership interest OR on which the borrower is obligated.

These guidelines apply to the home buyers with the best credit scores, so you can imagine the scrutiny that less qualified buyers will have.

Every time I get these guideline changes, I realize that FHA, VA and the other first time home buyer programs are in fact easier.

Enjoy your weekend!

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Tuesday, December 7, 2010

How to Understand the Economy in 2010

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Mary is the proprietor of a bar in Chicago. She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar. To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around about Mary's "drink now, pay later" marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Mary's bar. Soon she has the largest sales volume for any bar in Chicago.

By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Mary gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Mary's gross sales volume increases massively. A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Mary's borrowing limit. He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts of the unemployed alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank's corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then bundled and traded on international security markets. Naive investors don't really understand that the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics. Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb, and the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation's leading brokerage houses.

One day, even though the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Mary's bar. He so informs Mary.

Mary then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed alcoholics they cannot pay back their drinking debts. Since Mary cannot fulfill her loan obligations she is forced into bankruptcy. The bar closes and the eleven employees lose their jobs.

Overnight, DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS drop in price by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the banks' liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

The suppliers of Mary's bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms' pension funds in the various BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds. Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multi-billion no-strings attached cash infusion from their cronies in Government and the Fed.

The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Mary's bar.

Now, do you understand the economy in 2010?
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Monday, December 6, 2010

Pre-game at the Chargers Game


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Got to hang-out on the field for a few minutes during pre-game warm-ups before the San Diego Chargers game on Sunday. Had a great time except for the Chargers losing to the Raiders