Wednesday, November 24, 2010

QE2, i.e., Printing Money Out of Thin Air


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How Much Does It Cost To Employ One Worker? $600,000

Ben Bernanke is ticked off. The world is questioning his judgment, and that of the entire Federal Reserve Board. When $1.7 trillion didn’t work in terms of creating jobs, they threw more money on the fire, literally burning up value. When called on the carpet to explain why an additional $600 billion would help where $1.7 trillion didn’t, Ben’s defense was simple … he thinks that $600 billion might..MIGHT…create between 700k and 1million jobs over the next two years.

Ahem. Let’s do some basic arithmetic.

If Ben spends $600 billion to create 1 million jobs (let’s be generous, giving him the top of the estimated range), then that equates to $600,000 per job. I think we can come up with a better plan.

Instead of hoping that excess liquidity at banks will result in greater loans so that inflation is sparked in order to induce potential spending by consumers and businesses (yes, that actually is the hair-brained theory), just directly employ people. If we are bent on spending the money, then simply create a 3-year job program that pays $50k to $75k per worker, and hire 1 million people. The program will cost roughly $200 billion in income plus expenses of, say, an additional 30%, so $60 billion, for a total of $260 billion. This would save taxpayers $340 billion of printed dollars, thereby reversing the devaluation of the US dollar, and allow interest rates to rise to a natural level, thereby rewarding savers.

I’m against this, btw, but like I said, if the government is hell-bent on spending money they don’t have (they are), then why not do it in a way that actually puts people to work and saves (printed) money.